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Writer's pictureEdward Ballsdon

November Review

Summary of November's research, covering the following topics:

Debt: Continuing huge burden on Domestic investors in 2025 to fund governments

Debt: Update on global private sector credit trends

Rates: Bearish momentum extinguished

UK: “Simple Real Yields” relative to other major markets

France: Debt sustainability (interest rate cost and debt profile)

EU Banks: SX7E and Bank Credit correlations and the link with Euro inflation

Canada: Debt deflation underway – lagging disinflation beginning to bite

Japan: “Hot” inflation unlikely given negative base effects – expecting a JGB signal

Risk: Divergence between extended positioning and declining market sentiment

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